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Ege Yazgan

Ege Yazgan

Professor at Istanbul Bilgi University and Director of Center for Financial Studies (CEFIS).

Barış Soybilgen

Barış Soybilgen

Assistant Professor at Istanbul Bilgi University, Faculty of Business and Assistant Director of Center for Financial Studies (CEFIS).

This site is being maintained by Prof. Dr. Ege Yazgan and Assist. Prof. Barış Soybilgen as a part of “Nowcasting and Forecasting of Macro-Economic and Financial Variables in Turkish Economy” project. Harun Özkan and Veli Can Küpeli also helped to prepare simditahmin.com.

Michele Modugno also contributed to develop dynamic factor model used in this website. We are also grateful to Turkish Data Monitor (TDM) for proving us Turkish financial and economic data.

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Quarterly graphs demonstrate the growth rate estimation of the related quarter in light of the disclosed data. The features and the estimated growth can be read by the points above the graph.

The graphs were created separately for the estimates of the growth rate of both the year to year (by the same quarter of the previous year) as well as the growth rate from quarter to quarter (compared to the previous quarter). The growth rate of GSYIH predicted in quarter-to-quarter growth is seasonally adjusted.

In addition, the table below has been prepared to easily track which data is more effective on which estimate. With each new data, the graphics and tables in this site are renewed.